The Rays have one of the 2 best Starting Pitcher staffs in the American league, and have averaged over 90 wins for the last 6 years. Having them to win the American league previously at +1200 (8th favorite among the clubs) was a steal – if you grabbed it 2 weeks ago. The club jumped to +900 for the League Pennant and +1800 for the World Series. This just happened overnight as they were also +2000 to win the Fall Classic as of yesterday. TB as the 7th favorite in the AL is still great value even with the less money to win now – as opposed to just 24 hours ago. The Yankees are not good value as the 3rd favorite in the AL now.
By Chuck Booth (Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner): Follow @chuckbooth3024
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Just as I predicted would happen, someone hammered the Tampa Bay Rays enough for them to switch spots with the Toronto Blue Jays on the odds list.
The Rays shot up from +1050 to win the AL, and +2000 to win the World Series, to now +900 to win the AL, and +1800, while the Jays have gone to +1100 and +2000 overall, from +1000 and +1800 in for the AL Pennant and World Series respectively.
Most of the odds favor the American League to win in any Fall Classic Matchup versus the National League still.
The NL features heavy favorites of the both the LA Dodgers, Washington Nationals and St. Louis Cardinals. These 3 teams are best not to pick them to win the NL as the odds are brutal.
If it your intention to wager on them, pick them to win the World Series, as their odds exponentially increase.
If you are picking ATL/CIN/PIT/SF/PHI/ARI/MIL and COL, pick them to win the NL, as they pay less than +100 (-105 to – 130) in the translation between NLCS Winner and World Series Winner.
The Braves are listed as a +800 to win the NL this year, despite just being +1400 to capture the World Series. This means you should bet them to win the NL – and not the World Series to receive the good value. Teams ranked 4 – 10 on the NL list should all be chosen for just the League Pennant for the same reason.
American League Winner Odds (World Series Odds in Parenthesis)
. 1. Boston Red Sox +550 (+1000)
2. Detroit Tigers +550 (+1000)
3. New York Yankees +650 (+1200)
4. Texas Rangers +700 (+1200)
5. Oakland Athletics +800 (+1500)
6. LA Angels +850 (+1700)
. 7. Tampa Bay Rays +900 (+2000)
8. Toronto Blue Jays +1100 (+2000)
9. Kansas City Royals +1300 (+2500)
T10. Baltimore Orioles +1350 (+2500)
T10. Cleveland Indians +1350 (+2500)
12. Seattle Mariners +1400 (+2800)
13. Chicago White Sox +2500 (+5000)
14. Minnesota Twins +5000 (+8000)
15. Houston Astros +10000 (+25000)
National League Winner Only (World Series Odd To win)
1. LA Dodgers +290 (+700)
2. Washington Nationals +375 (+800)
3. St. Louis Cardinals +450 (+1000)
4. Atlanta Braves +750 (+1400)
5. Cincinnati Reds +800 (+1500)
T6. Pittsburgh Pirates +1300 (+2500)
T6. SF Giants +1300 (+2500)
8. Philadelphia Phillies +1800 (+3300)
9. Arizona Diamondbacks +1800 (+3300)
10. Milwaukee Brewers +2000 (+3500)
11 Colorado Rockies +2800 (+5500)
12. San Diego Padres +3300 (+6600)
T13. Chicago Cubs (+3300) (+6600)
T13. New York Mets +4500 (+8000)
15. Miami Marlins +5000 (+10000)
odds brought to you by www.bet365.com
The Dodgers, Cardinals and Nationals are the heavy favorites to win the National League Pennant, however the odds are just not there. If you are going to prognosticate any of these three clubs to win the NL, simply just bet them to win the World Series, where the translation equates to over a +100 odd for each of them, and the LA franchise shoots from +290 for the NL to +700 to win the World Series. The Dodgers would play any AL team fair in a World Series, and probably only Detroit would be favored versus them for the World Series Trophy in a Best of 7 series.
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*** The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of mlbreports.com and their partners***
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Chuck Booth and Larry Lucchino talk baseball in the RF reserved seats at Fenway.
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