The regular season over/unders have been updated yet again. While most of them are right in the realm of where they should be – about 20% of the numbers scream out for me to bet some cabbage on.
Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): Follow @stokes_hunter21
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Yes these are my predictions for the current state of the MLB.
Right beside the wins and losses, is the over.under totals and odd.
Next to that will be whether that would make it Over/Under based on my selections.
If I think an odd is worthy of plunking down some pesos, I will highlight it.
The Rays have one of the 2 best Starting Pitcher staffs in the American league, and have averaged over 90 wins for the last 6 years. Bringing back Price, and having Myers and Archer for a full year should make the team even better in 2013. Keep in mind they have also added Heath Bell and Grant Balfour to anchor the Bullpen, an obvious upgrade over the inconsistent Fernando Rodney. They have been more consistent than the Red Sox and Yankees the last 2 years. As such should not be slated to win fewer games than they have in 5 out of the last 6 seasons.
AL East (Division Record 440 – 370)
1. TB 92 – 70 (AL EAST WINNER) O/U 88.5: (Over) O; -105, U; -125
Take this as the over. The Rays have managed 90+ Wins in 5 of the last 6 years, also have a full year of Wil Myers and Chris Archer added.
Also subtract Fausto Carmona (6 – 14 with a ballooned ERA from last year’s team (AKA Roberto Hernandez).
2. NYY 91 – 71 (WC #1) 0/U 86.5 (Over) O; -115, U: -115
3. BOS 89 – 73 O/U 87.5 (Over) O: -125, U: -105
4. BAL 81 – 81 O/U 80.5 (Over) O: -135, U: +105
5. TOR 77 – 85 O/U 80.5 (Under) O: -115, U: -115
Maybe I wouldn’t have done the trades the Tigers brass did, however they will eat up the “CUPCAKE Division” with Divisional games and the best Starting Rotation, Pick 90+ Wins.
AL Central (Division Record 389 – 421)
1. DET 91 – 71 (AL CENTRAL WINNER) O/U 89.5 (Over) O: -125, U: -105
NO way the Tigers don’t still win at least 90 games. Despite losing several HRs from Prince Fielder, they have helped their Bullpen, added several decent defensive players.
Most noteworthy, they play 76 games versus the AL Central. Hello steady dose of the Indians, Twins and White Sox, you don’t need to rake teams over the coal with heavy offense out of those squads.
2. KC 88 – 74 (WC #2) O/U 82.5 (Over) O: -115, U: -115
Bad odd there. KC is way better than last year’s 85 Win team – so 82 for an Under? They went 47 – 34 down the pike last year. Awesome Bullpen keeps them in the chips all year.
3. CLE 73 – 89 O/U 80.5 (Under) O: -135, U: +100.
This club is too hard to predict, stay away. I just don’t see enough pitching, and I think their offense has too many streaky players.
4. CWS 70 – 92 O/U 75.5 (Under) O: -125, U: -105
5. MIN 67 – 95 O/U 70.5 (Under)
AL West (Division Record 402 – 408)
1. TEX 91 – 71 (AL WEST WINNER) O/U 86.5 (Over) O: -135, U: +105
2. OAK 86 – 76 O/U 88.5 (Under) O: -105, U: -125
3. LAA 85 – 77 O/U 86.5 (Under) O; -115, U: – 125
4. SEA 81 – 81 O/U 81.5 (Under) O: -105, U: -125
5. HOU 59 – 103 O/U 62.5 (Under) O: -125, U: -105
National League (1199 – 1231)
NL East (Divisional Record 387 – 423)
1. WSH 94 – 68 (NL EAST WINNER) O/U 88.5 (Over) O: -140, U: +115
Take it to the bank that the Nats win at least 92 games this year, and as much as 98. 3 teams in PHI/NYM/MIA – who they will beat up for 57 combined games.
2. ATL 86 – 76 O/U 87.5 (Under) O: -130, U: +100
3. PHI 75 – 87 O/U 76.5 (Under) O: -125, U: +105
4. NYM 67 – 95 O/U 73.5 (Under) O: -125, U: +105
Only reason I wont put any money down, is I am not sure about the Marlins and Phils playing the Mets well enough. This is a flawed team.
5. MIA 66 – 96 O/U 69.5 (Under) O: -105, U: -125
NL Central (Divisional Record (403 – 407)
1. STL 91 – 71 (NL CENTRAL WINNERS) O/U 90.5 (Over) O: -125, U: -105
2. CIN 87 – 75 (WC #2) O/U 84.5 (Over) O: -125, U: +105
3. PIT 83 – 79 O/U 83.5 (Under) O: -125, U: -105
4. MIL 77 – 85 O/U 79.5 (Under) O: -115, U: -115
5. CHC 65 – 97 O/U 69.5 (Under) O: -115, U: -115
NL West (Divisional Record (409 – 401)
1. LAD 95 – 67 (NL WEST WINNER) O/U 92.5 (Over) O: -115, U: -115
2. SF 90 -72 (WC #1) O/U 86.5 (Over) O: -105. U: -125
3. ARI 82 – 80 O/U (Over) O/U 80.5 (Over) O: -130, U: +100
4. COL 79 – 83 O/U 76.5 (Over) O: -115, U: -115
5. SD 63 – 99 O/U (Under) 78.5 O: -105, U: -125
Absolute best bet on the board is that Under. How are the Padres better? SF and Arizona beefed up their rosters, and the Dodgers should win next to 100 games.
You throw in Colorado making nice moves to improve, how do they figure San Diego will win around 78. Andrew Cashner has never remained healthy for a full year.
Everth Cabrera and Yasmani Grandal are trying to recover from 2013 suspensions. You just lost Cameron Maybin for a long time, and who is banking on Carlos Quentin?
Ian Kennedy hasn’t been the same since his 21 win campaign, Josh Johnson is a mystery thrower, who went 2 – 8. with a 6.20 ERA last year.
You gave up reliable Bullpen arms in Joe Thatcher and Luke Gregerson, and replaced them with Joaquin Benoit?
Jedd Gyorko blasting 35+ HRs, and Chase Headley having a 2012 renaissance may net the team to low 70′s in wins.
The Giants had an off-year in 2013, the Dodgers banged out of the gate slow, the Rockies were worse than they presently are now, and San Diego still only mustered 76 Wins.
They also will firesale the club halfway through the year, in particularly Headley!
Odds Courtesy of http://www.bovada.com
Please note that it is illegal to gamble for most US States
The Padres have not made the playoffs since 2006, and have only authored 2 winning seasons in the last 7 years. It is not from a lack of the coach, rather the NL West has far superior talent, while the San Diego franchise has been trying to replenish the farm, went through an ownership change, and now the team needs to make some decisions this offseason, that will shape the fortunes of the club for the next several years. How can the oddsmakers think this team will match last years output when the Dodgers will be strong all year, the Giants will have a bounce back season, the D’Backs are better, and the Rockies had one of the best off seasons out of anyone. The Padres may be worse this campaign than in the last several seasons.
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A big thank-you goes out to Our ‘Chief Writer‘ Hunter Stokes for preparing today’s featured article. Hunter is a Baseball Writer for MLB reports.
Hunter grew up in Lynchburg, Virginia and played baseball with Sheldon Bream (Sid Bream‘s son) at Liberty University in the NCAA.
His favorite player is Brian Wilson (how could you guess?), and he hates when people can’t think outside the box!
His favorite expression – is ‘ this At Bat is about ten seconds away from a Toe – Tag!
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