By Chuck Booth (Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner): Follow @chuckbooth3024
Follow MLB Reports On Twitter Follow @mlbreports
The 2014 season is quickly coming, and many people are putting together their yearly predictions for MLB for both of the AL and NL.
One of the things people must remember to do, is to have their teams all equal 2430 wins. Since they are that many games in any given campaign (at least to start with before any cancellations are never played).
This is the 1st thing to look for.
Obviously every team should add to 162 games in the W – L columns of each squad.
Furthermore, you also have to account for the record in Interleague play between the AL in NL (this represents 290 games out of the 2430 game schedule.)
One of the new concepts we have put forth on the MLB Reports is also each Divisions record. To help you in your prognostications, here is the template the Hunter Stokes (our chief writer) used for his.
We still wait a few weeks for the final predictions before the 1st pitch of the season is thrown.
We will be having a predictions podcast hosted by James Acevedo and yours truly – on the season show ‘premiere’ of “2 And A Hook Podcast” in 2 weeks time.
Here are my predictions as of today for 2014. They will be finalized before the opening series in Australia.
American League Record (1231 – 1199)
AL East (Division Record 430 – 380)
1. TB 90 – 72 (AL EAST WINNER) #3 seed
2. NYY 89 – 73 (Tied WC #2)
3. BOS 86 – 76
4. BAL 86 – 76
5. TOR 79 – 83
vs AL East 190 – 190 vs other divisions 240 – 190 (.558)
AL Central (Division Record 394 – 416)
1. DET 94 – 68 (AL CENTRAL WINNER) #1 seed
2. KC 89 – 73 (Tied WC #2)
3. CLE 74 – 88
4. CWS 70 – 92
5. MIN 67 – 95
Record vs AL Central 190 – 190, vs other divisions 204 – 226 (.475)
AL West (Division Record 407 – 403)
1. TEX 91 – 71 (AL WEST WINNER) #2 seed
2. OAK 90 – 72 (WC #1)
3. LAA 87 – 75
4. SEA 80 – 82
5. HOU 59 – 103
AL West vs own Division 190 – 190, vs other divisions 217 – 213 (.505)
American League Record In Interleague Play vs NL (161 – 129, .555)
National League (1199 – 1231)
NL East (Divisional Record 387 – 423)
1. WSH 94 – 68 (NL EAST WINNER) #2 Seed
2. ATL 86 – 76
3. PHI 75 – 87
T4. NYM 66 – 96
T4. MIA 66 – 96
vs NL East 190 – 190, vs other divisions 197 – 233 (.458)
NL Central (Divisional Record (403 – 407)
1. STL 91 – 71 (NL CENTRAL WINNER) #3 seed
2. CIN 87 – 75 (WC #2)
3. PIT 83 – 79
4. MIL 79 – 83
5. CHC 63 – 99
vs NL Central 190 – 190. vs other Divisions 213 – 217 (.495)
NL West (Divisional Record (409 – 401)
1. LAD 95 – 67 (NL WEST WINNER) #1 Seed
2. SF 88 – 74 (WC #1)
3. ARI 84 – 78
4. COL 79 – 83
5. SD 63 – 99
vs NL West 190 – 190. vs other divisions 219 – 211 (.509)
Playoffs
Before we can enter into the playoffs, we must determine the 2nd Wild Card team between the Yankees and Royals.
I am going to say the Yanks edge out Kansas City 4 – 3 in the game in extra innings.
James Shields will have thrown well, but the Yankees comeback off of the Bullpen of KC late.
WC AL
New York over Oakland
WC NL
Cincinnati over San Francisco
LDS AL
Detroit over New York in 4
Texas over Tampa Bay in 5
LDS NL
Washington over St. Louis in 5
LA Dodgers over Cincinnati in 4
ALCS
Detroit over Texas in 7
LA Dodgers over Washington in 7
World Series
LA Dodgers over Detroit in 7
Division Rankings would go like this based on Win PCTG
This is a good guage for Strength of Scheduling. It may be why the AL East may only have one playoff birth, even though I predicted a 2nd one here.
1. AL East
2. NL West
3. AL West
4. AL Central
5. NL Central
6. NL East
2013 Team Payrolls And Records
1. NY Yankees – $237,018,889 (85 – 77) Tied 3rd IN AL EAST (Paid out penalty ($28,113,945 on Luxury Tax – 50% for all $ north of $178 MIL)
2. LA Dodgers – $236,872,242 (92 – 70) LOST NLCS 4 – 2 STL) (Paid out penalty ($10,302,602 on Luxury Tax – 17.5% for all $ north of $178 MIL)
3. Boston Red Sox – $178, 481,441 (97 – 65) (WON WS 4 – 2 STL) 1st In AL EAST
4. Philadelphia Phillies – $166,059,063 (73 – 89) 4th In NL EAST
5. Detroit Tigers – $154,728,724 (93 – 69) LOST ALCS 4 – 2 BOS) 1st IN AL CENTRAL
6. LA Angels – $143,670,107 (78 – 84) 4th in AL WEST
7. San Francisco Giants – $141,312,169 (76 – 86) Tied 3rd IN NL WEST
8. Texas Rangers – $137,185,918 (91 – 72) 2nd IN AL WEST
9. Toronto Blue Jays – $125,879,791 (74 – 88) 5th IN AL EAST
10. Washington Nationals – $120,935,536 (86 – 76) 2nd IN AL EAST
11. St. Louis Cardinals – $119,642,308 (97 – 65) (LOST WS BOS 4 – 2) 1st IN NL CENTRAL
12. Chicago White Sox – $116,740,909 (63 – 99) 5th IN AL CENTRAL
13. Cincinnati Reds – $116,137,930 (90 – 72) (LOST NLWC PIT) 3rd IN NL CENTRAL
14. Baltimore Orioles – $103,299,013 (85 – 77) Tied 3rd IN AL EAST
15. Chicago Cubs – $100,959,265 (66 – 96) 5th IN NL CENTRAL
16. Atlanta Braves – $95,340,877 (95 – 67) (LOST LDS LAD 3 – 1) 1st IN NL CENTRAL
17. New York Mets – $95,128,685 (74 – 88) 3rd IN NL EAST
18. Milwaukee Brewers – $92,698,685 (74 – 88) 4th IN NL CENTRAL
19. Seattle Mariners – $91,102,412 (71 – 91) 4th IN AL WEST
20. Arizona DiamondBacks – $90,204,915 (81 – 81) 2nd IN NL WEST
21. Cleveland Indians – $88,964,754 (92 – 70) (LOST ALWC TB) 2nd IN AL CENTRAL
22. Kansas City Royals – $86,614,795 (86 – 76) 3rd IN AL CENTRAL
23. Colorado Rockies – $78,836,045 (74 – 88) 5th IN NL WEST
24. Minnesota Twins – $76,132,483 (66 – 96) 4th IN AL CENTRAL
25. Pittsburgh Pirates – $74,608,266 (94 – 68) (LOST NLDS 3 – 2 STL) 2nd IN NL CENTRAL
26. San Diego – $74,201,807 (76 – 86) Tied 3rd IN NL WEST
27. Oakland Athletics – $71,075,550 (96 – 66) (LOST ALDS 3 – 2 DET) 1st IN AL WEST
28. Tampa Bay Rays – $64,610,387 (92 – 71) LOST ALDS 3 -1 BOS) 2nd IN AL EAST
29. Miami Marlins – $42,301,772 (62 – 100) 5th IN NL EAST
30. Houston Astros – $29,270,160 (51 – 111) 5th IN AL WEST
Each team will also split up the pie of a $700 MIL+ a year National TV Broadcasting deal – that could help each organization spend out even more cash than ever in going forward. The current CBA will expire after the 2016 campaign, with a trajectory of salaries all going nothing but up, where is the limit the totals will reach?
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***Chuck Booth – Lead Baseball Analyst/Website Owner and author of the Fastest 30 Ballgames:
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